Can Republicans Survive?

November 2, 2017 by · Leave a Comment 

The Republican Party today is not the same as when it won with President George W. Bush. In Texas, 50 percent of Hispanics voted for George W. Bush for governor and between 35 and 44 percent of U.S. Hispanics voted for him in 2000 and 2004 for President. In 2004, 80 percent of Evangelical Hispanics voted Bush, according to a report by Pew Hispanic.

The Hispanic vote for the GOP nominee in 2008 was 31 percent, in 2012 about 26 percent, less in 2016; in fact, the 2016 Hispanic Presidential Vote may be a record low 20 percent based on actual vote counts in Florida, Texas and Wisconsin.

My views on the GOP and Hispanics started over 50 years ago when the late Rear Admiral Leslie E. Gehres (USN ret.) was County Republican Chairman in 1962. That is when I became active in the GOP.

Being 21 and a Gung Ho “Young Republican” I became a “gofer” for the Admiral and behind-the-scene money men/women of the county GOP. Those were heady days for a young political junkie.

At a County Committee meeting, I asked the Admiral to appoint me a County Committee “Associate Member.” He looked at me and asked: “Why?” I said, “Admiral, look around, I’m the only person here that looks like me.”

“No,” he said, “your people don’t vote.

I went on that year (1962) to serve as co-chairman of a statewide Richard Nixon for Governor committee, served on three legislative campaign committees, the Sheriff’s committee and was hired by a two-year-old Los Angeles campaign management firm, Spencer-Roberts to campaign for United States Senator Tom Kuchel. My job: Under direction, to run the campaign in California’s then third largest county.

Stu Spencer and Bill Roberts made Ronald Reagan governor four years later and President in 1980. I was in good company.

This WWII-famous admiral never imagined that San Diego County and California would be 40 percent or more Hispanic and that Hispanics would deliver million-plus-vote pluralities against Republicans Presidential candidates. I did, and I told everyone at the time. They didn’t listen. They didn’t want to listen.

Fast forward to the other night at a beautiful hillside house overlooking the Pacific Ocean. 150 people showed up to a $500-a-couple fundraiser to help Hispanic Republicans run for office in California. Most were Anglos. Two mayors, two district attorneys, one sheriff: “Big” money people, elected state and local officials, and famous people like diet-Guru Jenny Craig.

The GOP County Chairman? I didn’t see him.

The fundraiser was organized to help “Grow Elect.” It is directed by former Northern California County Supervisor, Assistant to President George W. Bush and immediate past President of the San Diego Regional Chamber of Commerce –Hispanic Ruben Barrales. Moishe Moreno and non-Hispanic Kevin Spillane work with him.

They school Hispanic Republicans to run for elective office from water districts up to and including the state legislature. They help with voter materials, strategy and money. Money raised at events like this one in San Diego.

For example, a Hispanic immigration attorney single mother raised in poverty by immigrant Mexicans parents decided to run for her school board. She had no idea how to run. She connected with Grow Elect. They advised her, and they designed, printed and mailed political pieces to her voters. She won, the first Hispanic to win election in mostly Anglo Coronado, California (Hispanic 14 percent). She won with 67 percent of the vote a year ago

Esther Valdes electrified the crowd with a fiery speech that rocked the mostly Anglo audience. They liked her.

She is one of almost 200 Hispanic Republicans who have won offices throughout California in four or so years with Grow Elect help.

The GOP hierarchy is still thinking like 1960s Republicans who criticized this writer for what they perceived as a “chip on the shoulder.” They didn’t listen to my message.

Bring Hispanics in or lose!

Some, not all, are listening now, now that California Republican registration is only 25 percent and shrinking. Independents will soon outnumber Republicans in California.

The ultra-mainstream New Majority Republicans of San Diego County have joined up by delivering a check for $25,000 to add to the same amount raised at the beautiful house overlooking the ocean.

The fundraiser was in progress when the California Republican Party announced that former Trump Senior Advisor, a “Nationalist” anti-immigrant, “America First” Steve Bannon would speak at the State Party meeting. He had “declared war” on the people who were at this event.

Former Bush Administration official Peter Wehner – new to my fifty year-long struggles – in the New York Times: “…there’s really no choice about challenging the blood-and-soil nationalists. If they were to triumph — if the tribalistic, angry, anti-government wing of the party turns out to be the vanguard rather than an ugly and unfortunate parenthesis — then the Republican Party would collapse intellectually and morally, and a lot of lifelong Republicans would head for the exits.”

Which Republicans will win this epic struggle?

Answer: we don’t know; but Grow Elect is doing what should have been done 50 years ago. It is building towards a diversified Republican Party with educated business and professional Hispanics not Steve Bannon.

Raoul Lowery Contreras is the author of “The Armenian Lobby and U.S. Foreign Policy” (Berkeley Press, 2017) and “The Mexican Border: Immigration, War and a Trillion Dollars in Trade” (Floricanto Press); he formerly wrote for the New York Times’ New America News Service.

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